Bourdages, Lyne
	Gagnon, Philippe
	Garneau, Vincent
	Simard, Mario
	Théodore, Sylvie
	Trudel, Karine
Incumbent:
	Karine Trudel

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			89818 87596 43362 39306 39196.14 km² 2.3/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Karine Trudel	14039	29.20%
	Marc Pettersen	13700	28.50%
	Jean-François Caron	11202	23.30%
	Ursula Larouche	8124	16.90%
	Carmen Budilean	656	1.40%
	Marielle Couture	382	0.80%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		15926	34.14%
		19829	42.50%
		1264	2.71%
		8985	19.26%
		601	1.29%
Other		52	0.11%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Jonquière-Alma    (78.03% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Chicoutimi-Le Fjord    (17.53% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean    (4.44% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	17/10/19	J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66
Sondage Mainstreet du 9 octobre (634 personnes). Depuis, le Bloc a raffermi son vote: - Bloc (34%) - NPD (25%) - Conservateurs (20%) - Libéraux (15%) - Verts (2%) - PPC (2%) Source: Le Quotidien, 17 octobre 2019, p.6.
	17/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
The polls for this riding appear to have shifted in favour of the Bloc according to a new mainstreet poll as they have a lead over the ndp incumbent Quito Maggi? @quito_maggi · 17h17 hours ago And lastly, we look at Jonquiere, where the @BlocQuebecois candidate @mario_simard holds a sizeable lead over incumbent @NDP candidate @trudel_karine #elxn43 #cdnpoli
	15/10/19	Sam 213.83.85.149
Still a close one, but in what was a fairly close race anyway, the Bloc surge is likely going to hand it to them. Granted, their local effort here have been somewhat less extensive than the two main parties, but this is exactly the sort of riding where voters are willing to consider the Bloc regardless - it's a nationalist riding with both PQ and CAQ representation. If there is one Bloc gain in Northern Quebec, I feel this is it, and it's looking that way.
	14/10/19	J.F. Breton 96.21.24.76
Le vote pour le Bloc ne semble pas vouloir faiblir et se cristalise. Sur la base du dernier sondage Mainstreet dans Jonquière, où la lutte était serrée, on peut présumer que le Bloc a pris l'avantage depuis. D'ailleurs, les sites agrégateurs de sondages, comme Qc125 et TooClosetoCall donnent maintenant Jonquière au Bloc.
	23/09/19	J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66
Karine Trudel is really not in a good position. Mainstreet Poll: - Conservatives (25%) - Liberals (22%) - Bloc (17%) - NDP (11%) - Greens (5%) - PPC (2%) - Undecided (16%) Source: Le Progrès week-end, September 21st, 2019, page 4.
	07/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Such is the state of the NDP in Quebec that 21.5% for a 2015 ‘accident’ like Trudel seems unnaturally *high*. And if Jonquiere would seem like a natural next-conquest for the Cons, it's more as Chicoutimi-byelection carryover or ‘Michel Gauthier’ regionalism than anything to do with Jean-Pierre Blackburn's grand-coalition tenure.
	02/08/20	Marco Ricci 174.115.35.186
It was reported in the Quebec media today that Conservative internal polls show the following 4-way race for this riding, with the Liberals currently in 1st: Jonquière: LIB 28.7 CON 24 NDP 21.5 BQ 21 https://www.985fm.ca/extraits-audios/politique/238349/politique-sondages-internes-les-liberaux-en-avance-dans-trois-comtes-npd-trudeau-teste-ses-attaques-en-vue-des-elections-maxime-bernier-au-debat
	13/04/19	OttawaGuy94 184.146.168.170
The Conservatives have been smart finding local heroes to run in rural/small town ridings where their names carry more. Philippe Gagnon is exactly that type of candidate and most projector websites already have this for the Tories under current polling without even factoring in the 5% or so name recognition can help with.
	11/03/19	Sam 86.28.79.130
The only thing that is clear is that the NDP are in an awful position to hold this, it's likely to go Liberal but the Conservatives have shown their strength in Saguenay and could also take it.
	05/03/19	Neal 64.231.176.216
I expect the Conservatives to retake Jonquiere which the held under Jean pierre Blackburn until the Orange Wave of 2011. Given the trend to the Conservatives in the region, in large part due to the work of Alain Rayes and former BQ leader Michel Gauthier, I believe this seat will go to the Tories.