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References:
Population (2016): Population (2011):Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density |
110264 11026859084 51177 34573.41 km² 3.2/km² |
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
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| François-Philippe Champagne |
24475 | 41.50% |
| Jean-Yves Tremblay |
12245 | 20.80% |
| Sacki Carignan Deschamps |
11295 | 19.20% |
| Jacques Grenier |
9592 | 16.30% |
| Martial Toupin |
1144 | 1.90% |
| Jean-Paul Bédard |
196 | 0.30% |
2011 Results (redistributed)
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9452 | 17.13% |
| |
22777 | 41.28% |
| |
6031 | 10.93% |
| |
15712 | 28.48% |
| |
1120 | 2.03% |
Other | |
89 | 0.16%% |
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
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Saint-Maurice-Champlain
(87.01% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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Trois-Rivières
(12.99% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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| 18/10/19 |
Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188 |
The political home of Jean Chretien became a Bloc stronghold following Chretien's retirement but has now returned to a federalist. Champagne has become a relatively strong minister for Trudeau and he should hold on here. |
| 07/09/19 |
A.S. 99.225.32.21 |
It's as if the pending Justin victory led voters to channel that old le p'tit gars de Shawinigan spirit again; because otherwise, in this kind of geography, there'd be no reason for the Libs to have won by a 2:1 margin--heck, Jean Chretien was the one thing preventing this territory from going autopilot BQ in the 90s (and sure enough, it went insta-Bloc upon his retirement). And given that margin and cabinet positioning, defeat for Champagne's not terribly likely now--or if it is, it could well be more from an advancing QuebecCon front than from the Bloc; unless the lingering stink from Herouxville flings that tendency into the PPC pit instead (to say nothing of ensuring that Jagmeet has no chance around these parts) |
| 04/06/19 |
Laurence Putnam 24.207.100.204 |
Incumbent will be drinking his namesake within 45 minutes of polls close. |
| 03/03/19 |
Marco Ricci 174.114.238.210 |
I agree with the poster below that this riding favours the Liberals again. This riding was famous for many years as the riding of Prime Minister Jean Chrétien. When Chrétien retired, it went to the BQ during the Sponsorship Scandal and then to the NDP during the Layton Wave. But François-Philippe Champagne won the riding by 20 points in 2015, and now is a Minister. This may be why the new BQ leader, Yves-François Blanchet, who lives here, has decided to run somewhere else: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/grenier-bloc-blanchet-1.4981961 |
| 01/03/19 |
Sam 86.183.239.222 |
This riding will go Liberal; the opposition is completely split with the nearest challengers in the NDP declining and the Bloc and Conservatives winning only in exceptional circumstances. This allowed a 20% margin of victory in 2015. On top of that, the incumbent MP has had a major profile being in cabinet on two important files for the area. When all factors are considered the Liberals should retain this seat. |
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