Dong, Han
	Fischer, Sarah
	Giavedoni, Daniel
	Griffin, Bruce
	Sobel, Jay
Incumbent:
	Geng Tan

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			110076 103073 44193 42477 24.35 km² 4519.7/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Geng Tan	23494	51.40%
	Joe Daniel **	17279	37.80%
	Akil Sadikali	3896	8.50%
	Caroline Brown	1018	2.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		15802	40.30%
		8128	20.73%
		14626	37.30%
		517	1.32%
Other		142	0.36%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Don Valley East    (52.6% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Willowdale    (47.4% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Vincent Ke	18046	44.44%
	Shelley Carroll	12557	30.92%
	Akil Sadikali	8476	20.87%
	Janelle Yanishewski	1039	2.56%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		18001	52.60%
		11183	32.68%
		3746	10.95%
		1167	3.41%
Other		122	0.36%

	20/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
New candidate here for the Liberals but still they should be able to hold this riding.
	14/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
The liberals won this riding in 2015 but Geng Tan decided to leave Ottawa after only 1 term , so it has no incumbent . Sarah Fischer the cpc candidate has been campaigning in the riding for some time. The liberals have nominated Han Dong who is a former mpp from a downtown Toronto riding as there candidate. The ndp and greens weren’t much of a factor here last election but if there vote grows it could alter the race which happened other years.
	15/09/19	PY 99.230.147.26
As per the Liberal website, it's Han Dong (formerly the MPP for Spadina-Fort York) who ultimately won the nomination over Bang-Gu Jiang, a lawyer who was the party's standard-bearer in Markham-Unionville last election. Although he is a parachute candidate, I don't see how Dong won't be able to overcome that as Sarah Fischer is only a few years removed from her days as a CPC staffer. That said, she'll likely have some assistance from her former employer. Then again, I get the feeling Han Dong may get some from his also (though the resources he could potentially access are more likely to be human in nature, not financial, as the OLP is in the midst of its own rebuilding process). Unfortunately, by nominating Fischer, the Conservatives hedged when they should have pounced at the opportunity to re-take DVN with a higher-calibre candidate after those allegations against Geng Tan came to light. I don't like Fischer's odds at all. My money's on Han Dong here.
	15/09/19	Marco Ricci 174.115.35.186
Yes, this riding is probably leaning Liberal for now, although too soon to know whether it's safe for the Libs until we see how the next month of the campaign goes. Han Dong won the Liberal nomination a few days ago, although since he's running in the Don Valley suburbs instead of in his former provincial riding of Trinity downtown, it's hard to know whether his prior term as an MPP gives him an advantage.
	12/09/19	Kumar Patel 99.254.39.105
The Liberals won this riding by nearly 14 points in 2015. This riding does not have the same demographic make up as Markham-Unionville. Unless Scheer-mania sweeps Toronto this will be a Liberal hold.
	11/09/19	OgtheDim 173.206.177.40
Agree with the current TCTC This riding will be mostly affected by the national race. The only potential here is whether the Lib candidate fits the ethnic makeup of the riding and thus reduces the enthusiasm of the little PCPO machine Ten built to cement his win over Carrol provincially - that was somewhat impressive. You can lose this riding with a bad ground game.
	05/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Boy, the federal Liberal camp's been plagued by melodrama in DVN: the whole Geng Tan household circumstance, the Han Dong parachute, David Caplan's passing...but that's not the only reason why I'd question why DVN's currently deemed 'Liberal' and Willowdale 'Too Close'; we're talking about a riding where the Chinese-Canadian bleed from Markham and Agincourt is especially evident, and it's a bleed that shows increasing rightward inclinations. (It's why Hillcrest Village is now stronger for the Cons than Bayview Village.) And that the provincial Libs overperformed here in '18 has more to do with star candidate Shelley Carroll than with the 'natural base'. OTOH countering this is a dynamic similar to Willowdale: that is, transit-spurred condos and intensification along Sheppard having a way of spurring a centre/left-friendly cosmopolitanism. And of course, it doesn't help the CPC when their candidate's taken to task for trollish anti-Justin antics.
	05/07/19	Marco Ricci 174.114.238.210
Former Ontario Liberal MPP Han Dong has said he is running for the Liberal nomination here. The wife of departing Liberal MP Geng Tan is also considering a run. https://www.hilltimes.com/2019/07/04/liberal-mp-tans-wife-eyes-party-nomination-in-wake-of-his-decision-not-to-seek-re-election-to-spend-time-with-family/207196
	17/06/19	seasaw 99.225.244.232
This one's going to be hard to predict until closer to election day. The Liberal MP just quit, he had already been niminated, but for some reason he decided he no longer wanted to be the MP. The Tories already have their candidate who's already started campaigning. The Liberals will have to find another candidate and are already behind the eighth ball. There's still 4 months left and anything can happen.
	31/03/19	Sam 109.146.233.52
With the Tories polling well, and this riding having more scope for the Conservatives to strongly appeal than some of the ridings in the centre of Toronto, I'd say too early to call is a better projection for the moment and I wouldn't rule out a win for the Liberals or the Conservatives.
	04/03/19	seasaw 99.225.244.232
While I don't disagree with anything that Dr Bear posted, it's a bit premature to call this one for the Liberals, this scandal, may turn out to be the biggest in Canadian history, and when we see impossible members of the government trying to distance themselves from their leader, it means there's a problem, a big problem.
	28/02/19	Dr.Bear 204.187.20.70
A close win for the CPC in 2011 (when the Liberals collapsed) and a 13+ point win for the Liberals in 2015; unless the Liberals start imploding, then this should stay with Team Red.