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St. John's East
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-23 10:42:32
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



O'Regan, Seamus


Incumbent:

Jack Harris

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

85697
81936

39038
35505

328.15 km²
261.10/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Jack Harris 2114846.90%
Nick Whalen ** 1496233.20%
Joedy Wall 814118.10%
David Peters 8211.80%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Nick Whalen 2097446.70%
Jack Harris ** 2032845.30%
Deanne Stapleton 29386.50%
David Anthony Peters 5001.10%
Sean Burton 1400.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

753820.45%
2604270.65%
28647.77%
4151.13%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   St. John's East
   (95.89% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   St. John's South-Mount Pearl
   (4.11% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


31/07/20 Fix Error
24.85.228.170
The Liberal candidate here is Joanne Thompson, not Seamus O'Regan, who is running in Mount Pearl.
30/07/20 Stevo
164.177.56.217
It is entirely in this government's character to ‘invest’ (i.e. throw away) billions on a doomed projet in order to secure ONE seat. Likely a politically successful strategy.
28/07/20 ME
104.222.112.180
The deal on Muskrat Falls may put the Liberals in the drivers seat
28/07/20 Dr Bear
157.52.19.10
Let’s be honest; this riding is a Jack Harris riding, not an NDP riding. And post Jack Layton, even when Harris won, it wasn’t by a tremendous margin. Now with Harris retiring, the Liberals should be able to nab this seat back. I would actually argue that the CPC are more likely to win than a non-Harris NDP candidate.
22/07/20 Thomas K
24.85.228.170
Perhaps Alison Coffin could run for the NDP? Until then, this is too close to call.
23/06/21 Marco Ricci
174.114.237.78
Now that Jack Harris has announced he is not running in the next election, this riding probably becomes Too Close To Call. NDP may have an opportunity to keep it if they can find a strong candidate, but the Liberals may now be able to pick it up if they get strong numbers in Newfoundland again.
22/06/21 VanIsler
207.194.253.26
Jack Harris is retiring. With low NDP numbers in Atlantic Canada, I doubt a new NDP candidate will be able to hold this seat.
17/06/21 ME
45.72.200.7
Jack Harris is dealing with his age(72) and cancer. He will not stand again and the provincial riding went to the Liberals in the recent election.
12/06/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Harris ne se représente pas, apparemment. Grosse perte pour le NPD. Du coup, la circonscription reviendra assurément libérale.
11/06/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
According to the CBC, incumbent Jack Harris has stated that he won't run in the next election.
11/06/21 VanIsler
207.194.253.26
Probably an NDP hold (although this could change...) It will likely remain the only NDP seat in Atlantic Canada.
22/05/21
99.226.172.248
I think Jack Harris should keep this for the NDP by a healthy margin.



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