Chisholm, Jenna
	Conrad, Angela
	Edmonds, Anthony
	Gosse, Earl
	Samson, Darrell
Incumbent:
	Darrell Samson

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			86498 85583 34355 33205 644.93 km² 134.10/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Darrell Samson **	19925	40.20%
	Matt Stickland	11860	23.90%
	Kevin Copley	11211	22.60%
	Anthony Edmonds	5725	11.60%
	Sybil Hogg	816	1.60%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Darrell Samson	23161	48.00%
	Peter Stoffer **	16613	34.40%
	Robert Thomas Strickland	7186	14.90%
	Mike Montgomery	1341	2.80%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		11771	30.19%
		21174	54.30%
		4409	11.31%
		1636	4.20%
Other		3	0.01%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Sackville-Eastern Shore    (99.65% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley    (0.35% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	03/09/21	JH 173.212.113.20
This seat was always a Stoffer seat and not an NDP seat, and I don't see there being any reasonable chance of it flipping NDP. The riding is predominantly rural, and the NDP won 0 seats that compose this riding in the provincial election, so it stretches belief to think this will be anything but Liberal.
	19/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
I anticipated, in '19, a post-Stoffer settling back into a traditional Lib/Con binary; yet didn't anticipate how resilient, in the end, Greater Halifax Dipperdom would be--well, at least to hold on to 2nd and nominal-oppositiondom (which could just as well reflect the tin-eared Harper/Scheer continuum when it comes to making sense of Halifax). Still, it's the Lib-weakest of the ‘inner 4’ Halifax seats--but at this point, the split opposition saves it.
	03/08/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Circonscription sûre pour les Libéraux en Atlantique. ہ moins d'un revirement majeur et soudain, victoire libérale aisée.