Hickey, Jason
	Reist, John
	Sarty, Meryl
	Warren, Richard Trevor
	Williamson, John
Incumbent:
	John Williamson

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			65287 66197 32907 27100 9911.43 km² 6.60/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	John Williamson	19451	49.10%
	Karen Ludwig **	10110	25.50%
	Susan Jonah	5352	13.50%
	Douglas Mullin	3251	8.20%
	Meryl Sarty	1214	3.10%
	Abe Scott	200	0.50%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Karen Ludwig	16656	43.90%
	John Williamson **	14625	38.60%
	Andrew Graham	4768	12.60%
	Gayla MacIntosh	1877	4.90%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		18702	56.66%
		7695	23.31%
		4478	13.57%
		1683	5.10%
Other		454	1.38%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
New Brunswick Southwest    (94.99% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Fredericton    (5.01% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	19/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Yeah, '15 was more of an ‘oops’ moment for the federal Cons. Though even in defeat, it's interesting how Ludwig still managed a majority in all 5 polls in her hometown St. Andrews cluster (incl. 70% in the central poll)
	17/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
John Williamson was first elected in 2011 , somehow the riding went liberal in 2015 much like it did in 1993 although its mostly been a conservative riding over the years and think its going to stay that way.
	01/08/21	Sam 92.40.109.147
The 24 point gap is going to be too big for the Liberals to close, I think. The 2015 result was just a lucky win for Karen Ludwig - it's back to it's safe Conservative as no drop in the Green vote is going to transfer enough votes to the Liberals.
	28/07/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
NBSW had its once-a-generation Liberal win in 2015 and then swiftly back to normal. Count on another Liberal win here some time in the 2040s.
	06/06/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Circonscription de tradition conservatrice du sud-ouest du Nouveau-Brunswick. Sera sans doute l'une des dernières à tomber en cas de raz-de-marée libéral.