Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Alfred-Pellan
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-22 10:55:09
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Cappelletti, Dwayne

Corneillet, Pierre-Alexandre

D'Anello, Angiolino

Dion, Isabel

Iacono, Angelo

Mercer, Cindy


Incumbent:

Angelo Iacono

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

101373
98045

39078
37948

113.98 km²
889.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Angelo Iacono ** 2601547.90%
Michel Lachan 1554928.60%
Angelo Esposito 591710.90%
Andriana Kocini 41097.60%
Marguerite Howells 19583.60%
Matthieu Couture 4710.90%
Julius Buté 1770.30%
Dwayne Cappelletti 1130.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Angelo Iacono 2455744.50%
Rosane Doré Lefebvre ** 1322524.00%
Daniel St-Hilaire 983617.80%
Gabriel Purcarus 625911.30%
Lynda Briguene 10892.00%
Renata Isopo 2030.40%


2011 Results (redistributed)

539711.21%
2032942.21%
1075222.33%
1076622.36%
6991.45%
Other 2190.45%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Alfred-Pellan
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Barring the unlikelihood of Orange Crushes and Blue Waves, the only possible challenge here is from the Bloc; and that's more of a thing from the Big Tent Bloc era of the 90s and 00s. And if the Bloc comeback was only good for a 19-point margin in '19 vs an increased Lib share, it ain't gonna happen. (NB: the only time the *Bloc* managed a bigger margin over the *Libs* was in 1993, when they also had a Tory incumbent to grapple with. And the Orange Crush margin over the non-incumbent/third-place Libs in '11 was 20 points.)
18/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Les changements démographiques inhérents à la région de Laval favorisent les Libéraux fédéraux. À moins d'un raz-de-marée bloquiste au Québec, victoire asse facile des Libéraux à Laval.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster