Le Forestier, Jenni Michelle
	McKendrick, Stephen
	Post, Lisa
	Sanchez, Samantha
	Seeback, Kyle
	Zambito, Anthony
Incumbent:
	Kyle Seeback

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			128237 116341 44910 43174 2174.59 km² 59.00/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Kyle Seeback	28852	42.00%
	Michele Fisher	22645	33.00%
	Allison Brown	7981	11.60%
	Stefan Wiesen	7303	10.60%
	Chad Ransom	1516	2.20%
	Russ Emo	319	0.50%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	David Allan Tilson **	27977	46.30%
	Ed Crewson	23643	39.10%
	Nancy Urekar	4433	7.30%
	Rehya Yazbek	4398	7.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		28650	59.01%
		6409	13.20%
		6362	13.10%
		7132	14.69%
Other		0	0.00%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Dufferin-Caledon    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Sylvia Jones *	29704	53.08%
	Andrea Mullarkey	11381	20.34%
	Laura Campbell	7011	12.53%
	Bob Gordanier	6972	12.46%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		13861	30.66%
		18017	39.86%
		5269	11.66%
		7518	16.63%
Other		538	1.19%

	19/09/21	PEH 23.233.93.190
In this small c very conservative riding the PPC could be a spoiler for the big C Conservatives, especially since Kyle has veered far to the left from his early days as an MP and since he first won the nomination in this riding. Will they be a spoiler? Hard to predict, it may be a lot closer due to the PPC than comfortable for Kyle.
	05/09/21	Wildflower 172.83.175.119
Always been Conservative, and the old boys networks wot allow change to happen. Even if some people believe climate change exists, the old boys networks wont allow change to happen. Quite sad actually
	01/09/21	J.B. 99.236.139.107
Well, turns out the NDP did register a candidate at the last minute, so the end of my last submission is moot. This helps the CPC more than LPC, making this a safe riding for CPC at the moment.
	31/08/21	J.B. 99.236.139.107
On paper this is a safe CPC seat - Liberals aren't polling well in Ontario compared to '15 and '19 elections, there is a high anti-Trudeau sentiment (Trudeau's campaign stop in this riding was cancelled due to protests), and law signs were around 3-1 ratio for CPC last weekend in at least some neighbourhoods. That said, NDP has no registered candidate in this riding, and Green is polling very poorly. NDP + Green represented 22% of vote share in '19. Would they split between CPC and LPC? Or go LPC? Could be an interesting twist.
	24/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Becoming more of a suburban / rural mixed riding due to its location near Toronto area. but still a long time conservative riding . Kylee Seeback was first elected here in 2019 although he had been an mp for Brampton in 2011.
	29/05/21	KXS 99.247.196.32
This riding will be interesting to watch. Caledon has changed dramatically over the last 10 years and new residents are more likely to be LPC voters. Orangeville does not have a strong LPC base. The progressive vote is split between the LPC, NDP and Greens. If the NDP/Greens perform as they did in 2015, the LPC could win this. If they perform as well as they did in 2019, the CPC should be able to hold it.
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
While growth in the Brampton-fringe far S has definitely favoured the Liberals, it'd be jumping the gun to suggest that it poses a threat to CPC dominance in DuffCal--then again, 42% is a pretty low share to be sitting on. If anything, that growth has compromised Green dominance in what used to be among their top-of-the-heap ridings--and because of where it's coming *from*, it's likely boosted the NDP in its ‘Outer Brampton’ stead...