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Dufferin-Caledon
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:04:07
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Post, Lisa

Seeback, Kyle


Incumbent:

Kyle Seeback

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

128237
116341

44910
43174

2174.59 km²
59.00/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Kyle Seeback 2885242.00%
Michele Fisher 2264533.00%
Allison Brown 798111.60%
Stefan Wiesen 730310.60%
Chad Ransom 15162.20%
Russ Emo 3190.50%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

David Allan Tilson ** 2797746.30%
Ed Crewson 2364339.10%
Nancy Urekar 44337.30%
Rehya Yazbek 43987.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2865059.01%
640913.20%
636213.10%
713214.69%
Other 00.00%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Dufferin-Caledon
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Sylvia Jones * 2970453.08%
Andrea Mullarkey 1138120.34%
Laura Campbell 701112.53%
Bob Gordanier 697212.46%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1386130.66%
1801739.86%
526911.66%
751816.63%
Other 5381.19%


29/05/21 KXS
99.247.196.32
This riding will be interesting to watch. Caledon has changed dramatically over the last 10 years and new residents are more likely to be LPC voters.
Orangeville does not have a strong LPC base. The progressive vote is split between the LPC, NDP and Greens.
If the NDP/Greens perform as they did in 2015, the LPC could win this. If they perform as well as they did in 2019, the CPC should be able to hold it.



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