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Mississauga Centre
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:05:13
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Alghabra, Omar

Diab, Elie

Laferriere, Craig

Samuel, Teneshia

Zhao, Kathy-Ying


Incumbent:

Omar Alghabra

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

124849
118756

47047
44565

23.08 km²
5410.10/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Omar Alghabra ** 2997455.80%
Milad Mikael 1587429.50%
Sarah Walji 51739.60%
Hugo Reinoso 16463.10%
David Micalef 8371.60%
Greg Vezina 2520.50%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Omar Alghabra 2837254.70%
Julius Tiangson 1743133.60%
Farheen Khan 49209.50%
Linh Nguyen 11292.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1779241.69%
810618.99%
1567036.72%
9872.31%
Other 1220.29%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Mississauga East-Cooksville
   (36.85% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Mississauga-Erindale
   (31.31% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Mississauga-Brampton South
   (23.6% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Mississauga-Streetsville
   (8.24% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Natalia Kusendova 1786040.86%
Laura Kaminker 1204627.56%
Bobbie Daid 1110225.4%
Noah Gould 11492.63%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1790351.49%
905926.05%
554315.94%
10272.95%
Other 12383.56%


31/08/21 mizisuga
99.245.146.159
Alghabra is a cabinet minister this time and there is no indication any other candidate can challenge him. Easily over 50% LPC on election day.
14/08/21 Hammer
45.132.227.27
The incumbent is a cabinet minister and won by a large margin in 2019. A safe Liberal seat.
03/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Little doubt about where this is going; the Lib second-best Miss riding, and CPC only managed a scarce, token bit of poll action in Erindale Woodlands in '19. And given present polling, the spectral notion of NDP viability I inferred in '19 still holds--at least in a CPC-NDP race-for-2nd manner a la Lib-NDP provincially in '18. And maybe even there, going little or no further than the MCC condo asparagus…
29/05/21 KXS
99.247.196.32
Mississauga Centre should be a lock for the Liberals. They wont this riding with 25 point lead and a 15 000 vote margin. I don't think there is any evidence the Conservatives are going to close that wide of a gap in Ontario in the next election.



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