Chisu, Corneliu
	Higdon, Eileen
	Mantle, Jacob
	O'Connell, Jennifer
Incumbent:
	Jennifer O'Connell

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			112947 109344 39576 38582 652.50 km² 173.10/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Jennifer O'Connell **	32387	51.00%
	Cyma Musarat	18462	29.10%
	Eileen Higdon	7582	11.90%
	Peter Forint	3799	6.00%
	Corneliu Chisu	1265	2.00%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Jennifer O'Connell	29757	50.30%
	Corneliu Chisu **	22591	38.20%
	Pamela Downward	5446	9.20%
	Anthony Jordan Navarro	1365	2.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		22573	45.98%
		7731	15.75%
		16482	33.57%
		2218	4.52%
Other		96	0.20%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Pickering-Scarborough East    (55.88% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Ajax-Pickering    (25.26% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Durham    (18.86% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Peter Bethlenfalvy	22447	42.2%
	Nerissa Cariño	17033	32.02%
	Ibrahim Daniyal	10851	20.4%
	Adam Narraway	2105	3.96%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		21425	47.17%
		14815	32.62%
		6742	14.84%
		1921	4.23%
Other		515	1.13%

	21/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Not necessary your typical 905 riding , mostly pickering suburban area but also includes a large rural portion north to Uxbridge . Jennifer O’donnell has been the liberal mp since 2015, Jacob Mantle a former town councillor from Uxbridge is the new conservative candidate. Corneliu Chisu the 2011 cpc mp for Pickering Scarborough East is running for the peoples party. like to see how the race plays out in Ontario before making a prediction here.
	20/08/21	DurhamDave 99.232.135.116
The LPC got over 50% of the vote here in the last two elections. Unless they have a night like they did in 2011, I can't see them losing here.
	12/08/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
Jennifer O'Connell is one of the most toxic and obstructively partisan Liberal MPs in the House of Commons. That being said, this seat barely went Conservative in 2011, so it is quite likely she will be returned to parliament despite her behaviour.
	06/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
It did take a Liberal collapse in '11 to flip the former Pickering-Scarborough East blue; but remember that they had a popular incumbent in Dan McTeague, while the stronger Lib parts were in Scarborough East--not to mention that the redistribution which removed Scarborough East also appended Uxbridge from O'Toole's Durham, thus upping the ‘natural’ Con quotient considerably. Still, the trajectory has continued to be in a Lib direction within the Pickering parts, and the present margin's a bit high for any regional O'Toole coattails to take effect.
	28/07/21	Dr Bear 157.52.19.10
Took a liberal collapse in 2011 to flip this blue. Highly unlikely that will happen after the liberals got over 50% in both 2015 and 2019. East Liberal hold.