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Central Okanagan-Similkameen-Nicola
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-09 23:57:13
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Albas, Dan

Eves, Sarah


Incumbent:

Dan Albas

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

110293
104398

54649
48591

15984.90 km²
6.90/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Dan Albas ** 3113547.90%
Mary Ann Murphy 1625225.00%
Joan Phillip 1090416.80%
Robert Mellalieu 50867.80%
Allan Duncan 13452.10%
Jesse Regier 2130.30%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Dan Albas ** 2451739.60%
Karley Scott 2305937.20%
Angelique Wood 1196119.30%
Robert Mellalieu 24363.90%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2669054.59%
1273626.05%
491810.06%
37967.76%
Other 7541.54%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Okanagan-Coquihalla
   (67.17% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Kelowna-Lake Country
   (23.64% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   British Columbia Southern Interior
   (9.19% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


04/06/21 Libby Burgundy
198.91.168.152
The Conservatives held onto this seat even as the Liberals managed a regional breakthrough in 2015, and they got about twice as many votes as the second-place party in 2019. While this seat isn't nearly as secure as some of its neighbours, absent compelling indications to the contrary, we should be assuming the trendline will continue.



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