Albas, Dan
	Eves, Sarah
	Mcdonald, Kathryn
	Phillip, Joan
	Wauters, Brennan
Incumbent:
	Dan Albas

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			110293 104398 54649 48591 15984.90 km² 6.90/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Dan Albas **	31135	47.90%
	Mary Ann Murphy	16252	25.00%
	Joan Phillip	10904	16.80%
	Robert Mellalieu	5086	7.80%
	Allan Duncan	1345	2.10%
	Jesse Regier	213	0.30%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Dan Albas **	24517	39.60%
	Karley Scott	23059	37.20%
	Angelique Wood	11961	19.30%
	Robert Mellalieu	2436	3.90%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		26690	54.59%
		12736	26.05%
		4918	10.06%
		3796	7.76%
Other		754	1.54%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Okanagan-Coquihalla    (67.17% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Kelowna-Lake Country    (23.64% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
British Columbia Southern Interior    (9.19% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
The '15 result was indeed startling--and in the more recent times when the Cons were polling around a quarter of the vote nationally on a seemingly ‘toxic’ brand, it could even have served as a foundation for the what-could-happen present. Which'd be much less likely now. (A subtle, overlooked detail: as a ‘moderating’ element, the riding includes SC Kelowna. Take that away, and the Cons would be above 50% at large.)
	23/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Long time conservative riding in the interior of BC , current mp Dan Albas was first elected in 2011 and well known in the area by now .
	22/08/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
Really shows the magnitude of Trudeau's ‘grandson of BC’ surge in 2015 that the Liberals came within 2 points of taking Stockwell Day's old riding (mostly; there's been quite a bit of redistribution since then). As elsewhere in Western Canada, it was ‘back to normal’ in 2019 and I expect that to hold for this election. Worth noting that parts of this area did go NDP in the 2020 provincial election so it isn't ultra-safe territory for right-leaning parties.
	04/06/21	Libby Burgundy 198.91.168.152
The Conservatives held onto this seat even as the Liberals managed a regional breakthrough in 2015, and they got about twice as many votes as the second-place party in 2019. While this seat isn't nearly as secure as some of its neighbours, absent compelling indications to the contrary, we should be assuming the trendline will continue.