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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Lambton-Kent-Middlesex


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Baker, Bruce

Barnwell, David

Benoit, Vanessa

Dickey, Wanda

Eve, Dean

Mcnaughton, Monte

Vegh, Aaron Istvan


Incumbent:
Monte Mcnaughton

Population (2016):

105331
Population (2011):105919


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

MONTE MCNAUGHTON *
27,90655.34%
TODD CASE
16,80033.32%
MIKE RADAN
3,1436.23%
ANTHONY LI
1,6603.29%
BRIAN EVERAERT
5551.10%
BRAD GREULICH
3600.71%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

9,136 20.19%
20,514 45.33%
11,969 26.44%
2,072 4.58%
OTHERS 1,570 3.47%
Total Transposed 45,260
      Component Riding(s)

Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
(99.99% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Chatham-Kent-Essex
(0.01% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Lianne Rood
28,65149.00%
Jesse McCormick
14,81425.40%
Dylan Mclay
9,35516.00%
Anthony Li
3,4635.90%
Bria Atkins
1,8043.10%
Rob Lalande
3250.60%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Bev Shipley **
28,30050.20%
Ken Filson
16,59229.40%
Rex Isaac
9,59817.00%
Jim Johnston
1,8733.30%


 

27/05/2022 Tony Ducey
24.137.72.105
This will be an easy hold for Mcnaughton and the PC's.
04/05/2022 SarahMitts
45.74.101.124
The Ontario Liberal Party is dead in southwestern Ontario. They haven't bothered to nominate a decent candidate for years and the clown that they have run in the past (Radan) is well known to be disorganized, lazy and [edited]. This will be an easy win for McNaughton (PC). The only reason to pay attention to this riding on election night is to see if the NDP can crack 35% in second place and if the Greens surpass the perennially defeated Libs.
27/04/22 LeftCoast
207.194.253.26
Easy win for incumbent MPP and Minister of Labour Monte McNaughton.
20/04/22 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Interesting how McNaughton's morphed from being the face of the PC socon wing (outstripped and overshadowed by Oost, one supposes) to being the face of the PC "labour wing"--and given how well he did in rust-belt, "traditionally NDP" Wallaceburg last time (majority-level for the most part--and with Trillium Party outperformance augmenting the rightward spectrum), who can blame him. (At least the Dippers still have the reserves.)
21/03/22 R.O.
24.146.13.249
Monte Mcnaughton was first elected here in 2011 when he served in opposition but now a cabinet minister. Large rural riding with bigger towns like wallaceburg and Strathroy. Fairly well known mpp by now , not sure who the other parties are running here.
18/06/21 JW
45.41.168.96
For the most part, Southwestern Ontario (other than KW/Tricities) will be two way fight between PC and NDP. Mcnaughton survived all those Liberal years, not going to lose now that she is a senior, visible cabinet minister (and the So-Con heir apparent should Ford fall on his sword).



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