Election Prediction Project

2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:40:57

Constituency Profile


Audet, Marc

De Luca, Grégory

Diotte, Marie-Claude

Hoa, Glenn

Mendès, Alexandra

Nassif, Sam


Alexandra Mendès

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



52.82 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Alexandra Mendès 2881850.30%
Hoang Mai ** 1407524.60%
Qais Hamidi 721512.60%
Suzanne Lachance 607110.60%
Fang Hu 10811.90%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 760.16%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Brossard-La Prairie
   (78.62% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (21.38% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

18/10/19 Tony Ducey
Liberal Alexandra Mendes won this seat with over 50% of the vote in 2015. Despite the BQ surge I think the Liberals hold on here.
05/09/19 A.S.
The heart of South Shore Allophone; and now even more drilled into the Liberal camp with La Prairie hived off into its own riding. That is, it'll require Blue or Orange waves to now dislodge, and the Bloc only if they exceed 1993 levels of support--and neither scenario's poised to happen.
26/07/19 Laurence Putnam
Last time out the Liberals beat their closest rivals, the NPD by 2-1. Obviously the Dippers won't even come close to that this time. BQ vote may increase, and the Tory vote may even increase a little, but the Liberals are so far out in front that this is nothing more than a contest for second place.
19/04/19 Sam
This is a Liberal area, they won it in 2008, and won La Piniere provincially last time. Any Quebec riding the Liberals got over 40% they are certain to hold for the moment.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
This area largely stayed with the PLQ last fall despite a disastrous election for them and went Liberal in 2008 so of the south shore suburbs this should be an easy Liberal hold even if things change dramatically in Quebec.

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