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Don Valley North
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:03:53
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Dong, Han


Incumbent:

Han Dong

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

110076
103073

44193
42477

24.35 km²
4519.70/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Han Dong 2349550.40%
Sarah Fischer 1650635.40%
Bruce Griffin 42859.20%
Daniel Giavedoni 18033.90%
Jay Sobel 4821.00%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Geng Tan 2349451.40%
Joe Daniel ** 1727937.80%
Akil Sadikali 38968.50%
Caroline Brown 10182.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1580240.30%
812820.73%
1462637.30%
5171.32%
Other 1420.36%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Don Valley East
   (52.6% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Willowdale
   (47.4% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Vincent Ke 1804644.44%
Shelley Carroll 1255730.92%
Akil Sadikali 847620.87%
Janelle Yanishewski 10392.56%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1800152.60%
1118332.68%
374610.95%
11673.41%
Other 1220.36%


28/07/20 A.S.
64.114.255.114
Dong may have been a parachute, but his '19 CPC opponent Sarah Fischer was a poor fit for the riding even if she was a resident. But yes, this is part of the ‘Steeles belt’ which the rightward turn of the Jewish/Asian populace has turned into the currently lowest-hanging 416 fruit for CPC. As positioned now, DVN's not hanging low enough; in fact, maybe even retreating, and Sheppard-line urban intensification certainly doesn't help.
26/05/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
Many were upset last election when Han Dong, a former MPP in Downtown Toronto, was parachuted as a candidate in this north end Toronto riding. Despite this criticism, Dong won with a slim majority. If the Conservatives are to make waves in Toronto, I anticipate this would be one of the first ridings to switch blue. However, at this time I don't see an O'Toole-led CPC party matching the electoral support of the 2011 Harper election when the CPC finally broke through in Toronto. I'd bet on the Liberals winning this seat next election.



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