Election Prediction Project

2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:58:42

Constituency Profile


Akbar, Nadeem

van Koeverden, Adam


Adam van Koeverden

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



446.55 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Adam van Koeverden 3088251.70%
Lisa Raitt ** 2156436.10%
Farina Hassan 38516.50%
Eleanor Hayward 27694.60%
Percy Dastur 6131.00%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Lisa Raitt ** 2237845.40%
Azim Rizvee 1994040.40%
Alex Anabusi 536610.90%
Mini Batra 11312.30%
Chris Jewell 4931.00%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1270.38%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Parm Gill 1824941.67%
Indira Naidoo-Harris * 1306429.83%
Brendan Smyth 974022.24%
Eleanor Hayward 22005.02%

2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

Other 4371.35%

03/08/20 Marco Ricci
In what was expected to be a close race, Adam van Koeverden beat Conservative Deputy Leader Lisa Raitt by 15 points. van Koeverden is likely looking at a comfortable re-election.
31/07/20 Dr Bear
Seesaw, I think you are mistaking Milton for Thornhill or Mount Royal. Van Koeverden’s stance on the Israeli/Palestinian conflict will have no drastic effect on his electoral chances. Anyone who feels strongly about such things is already entrenched in the CPC voting block. No, what will swing voters will be bread and butter domestic issues, which this far have favoured the Liberals.
30/05/21 seasaw
Adam VanKoeverden's decision to support the boycott of Israel as well as his stance on the Uyghur Muslims, may come back to haunt him
27/05/21 MF
Lisa Raitt, while a well-liked MP could not survive the red shift of the suburban GTA and strong candidacy of Adam Van Koeverden. With the demographic changes, it looks like Milton is another Liberal riding in the 905.
11/05/21 Chris N
This was a very high profile race in 2019. Raitt was well liked on the Hill and had a national profile. However, van Koeverden was a charismatic candidate with a lot of party money and resources, as well as national polling, working in his favour. I anticipate that AVK will get re-elected.

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