Cléroux, André Junior
	Hartnett, Michael
	Joanis, Jessica
	Lalonde, Marie-France
	Oklobdzija, Spencer
	Wolfe, Mary-Elsie
Incumbent:
	Marie-France Lalonde

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			128281 119247 46612 46010 205.03 km² 625.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Marie-France Lalonde	44183	54.30%
	David Bertschi	22984	28.20%
	Jacqui Wiens	9428	11.60%
	Michelle Petersen	3829	4.70%
	Roger Saint-Fleur	986	1.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Andrew Leslie	46542	59.70%
	Royal Galipeau **	23821	30.50%
	Nancy Tremblay	6215	8.00%
	Raphaël Morin	1410	1.80%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		28917	45.18%
		8945	13.98%
		24306	37.97%
		1832	2.86%
Other		7	0.01%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Ottawa-Orléans    (93.9% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell    (5.01% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Nepean-Carleton    (1.09% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Marie-France Lalonde *	24972	39.05%
	Cameron Montgomery	22509	35.2%
	Barbara Zarboni	14033	21.94%
	Nicholas Lapierre	1603	2.51%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		29688	53.26%
		18639	33.44%
		5034	9.03%
		1978	3.55%
Other		406	0.73%

	07/09/21	Jack Porter 205.193.82.252
Hardly any conservative signs out, they have a very in experienced candidate in Mary Elsie Wolfe, Incumbent Liberal is well liked and will win with a landslide in Orleans. The NDP might catch some protest votes and have a very approachable hard working personable candidate, but nothing will stop MF Lalonde winning this
	03/09/21	Matt B. 174.112.6.162
This is a reliable Liberal constituency. It will very likely go red, and I would be shocked if there was another outcome. Liberals are at almost 50% of the vote right now.
	31/08/21	Jeff Wilson 174.112.6.162
As safe a Liberal seat as ever there was one. Signage is dominated by the Libs on major intersections as well as on private property. 338 polling has this riding heavily leaning red. This one is a Liberal hold for sure.
	22/06/21	Marco Ricci 174.114.237.78
This was a Conservative riding during the Harper years but is likely to remain Liberal for the near future. The Liberals won it by nearly 2-1 in 2015 & 2019. Marie-France Lalonde seems to be well-liked in this riding and was able to win it provincially in 2018 during the Liberal wipeout. That popularity is likely to continue now that she is the Federal MP.
	11/05/21	Ottawa 99 69.196.169.164
Étant donné que les libéraux ont très facilement gagné cette circonscription en 2015 et 2019, l'ont conservé aux élections provinciales de 2018, et l'ont très facilement gagné dans une élection partielle (au niveau provincial) en 2020, je ne pense pas qu'ils auront de la difficulté ici. .
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Even when HarperCon, it was only shallowly so (never w/more than a 6-point margin, 2011 not excepted), so for Orleans to become Landslide Liberal is no surprise--reinforced by its remaining *provincially* Liberal in '18, and then that provincial Lib victor going federal the next year, when all the CPC could offer is, well looky here, 2011's federal Liberal candidate. Though yes, here, too, the suburban Ottawa pattern of both Libs and Cons losing ground from '15, and more so in the Libs' case--but at a nearly 2:1 margin, does it matter?