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Orléans
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:29:18
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Lalonde, Marie-France


Incumbent:

Marie-France Lalonde

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

128281
119247

46612
46010

205.03 km²
625.70/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Marie-France Lalonde 4418354.30%
David Bertschi 2298428.20%
Jacqui Wiens 942811.60%
Michelle Petersen 38294.70%
Roger Saint-Fleur 9861.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Andrew Leslie 4654259.70%
Royal Galipeau ** 2382130.50%
Nancy Tremblay 62158.00%
Raphaël Morin 14101.80%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2891745.18%
894513.98%
2430637.97%
18322.86%
Other 70.01%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Ottawa-Orléans
   (93.9% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
   (5.01% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Nepean-Carleton
   (1.09% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Marie-France Lalonde * 2497239.05%
Cameron Montgomery 2250935.2%
Barbara Zarboni 1403321.94%
Nicholas Lapierre 16032.51%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

2968853.26%
1863933.44%
50349.03%
19783.55%
Other 4060.73%


22/06/21 Marco Ricci
174.114.237.78
This was a Conservative riding during the Harper years but is likely to remain Liberal for the near future. The Liberals won it by nearly 2-1 in 2015 & 2019. Marie-France Lalonde seems to be well-liked in this riding and was able to win it provincially in 2018 during the Liberal wipeout. That popularity is likely to continue now that she is the Federal MP.
11/05/21 Ottawa 99
69.196.169.164
Étant donné que les libéraux ont très facilement gagné cette circonscription en 2015 et 2019, l'ont conservé aux élections provinciales de 2018, et l'ont très facilement gagné dans une élection partielle (au niveau provincial) en 2020, je ne pense pas qu'ils auront de la difficulté ici. .



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