Boychuk, Rayna
	Chang, Michael
	Farstad, Kaija
	Richter, Kim
	Van Popta, Tako
Incumbent:
	Tako Van Popta

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			117017 103084 43484 41670 374.03 km² 312.90/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Tako Van Popta	29823	47.00%
	Leon Jensen	16254	25.60%
	Stacey Wakelin	10690	16.80%
	Kaija Farstad	4881	7.70%
	Natalie Dipietra-Cudmore	1305	2.10%
	Alex Joehl	499	0.80%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Mark Warawa **	27333	45.60%
	Leon Jensen	21894	36.60%
	Margot Sangster	7490	12.50%
	Simmi Saminder Kaur Dhillon	2644	4.40%
	Lauren Southern	535	0.90%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		29383	65.82%
		8637	19.35%
		4009	8.98%
		2345	5.25%
Other		264	0.59%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Langley    (93.37% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Abbotsford    (6.63% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	19/09/21	ReubenJames 207.6.181.68
Things you never expected could come true Monday - like a Liberal win in Langley-Abbotsford. The aftermath of the horrible Alberta Covid crisis — which has tarred CPC leader O’Toole almost as badly as inept AB premier — has rocked the Conservative campaign, and created a deflating narrative that MPs like Takla Van Popta can’t combat in the remaining hours. O’Toole’s ambivalent vaccine plan hasn’t satisfied the anti-vaxxers, while left the majority of adults wondering if he can lead. The demographics of the riding are strong blue, but newer suburbs in both communities, including Aldergrove, can skew in any direction. Popta hasn’t wowed anyone and the PPC’s Rayna Boychuk and Grit Kim Richter, a 7-time Langley councillor will benefit, with Richter’s experience giving her the best shot to shock the pollsters. You read it here first.
	31/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Tako Van Popta was first elected in 2019 so not that well known but this suburban riding has been conservative for a long time so likely hold for cpc.
	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
Were Van Popta's maiden margin more like Mark Warawa's swan song margin, I'd be more willing to no-prediction this--then again, maybe he benefited from a posthumous sympathy factor; but the way in which he nearly swept the polls (even in the westernmost, most latently ‘Lib-friendly’ parts) was almost like '15 and Justinmania never happened. I'd *probably* expect something more '15-like this time, particularly in light of provincial NDP gains--maybe even a sub-40% share--but nothing at loss-level.
	16/08/21	JCox 24.226.73.95
This seat is going for the tories but I wouldn't be surprised if eventually this becomes a swing riding. The provincial NDP did well here and at some point it may turn towards the liberals.
	21/07/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
I expect this to stay Conservative, though by a noticeably smaller margin than last time. The Conservatives are polling poorly in BC, but more significantly, this riding is gradually undergoing changes as more Vancouverites move out to Langley due to housing affordability, bringing their more progressive values with them. The evangelical right, which is generally strong in this riding, is gradually disintegrating, and unless that CPC changes strategies, so will their vote share.
	30/06/21	Negative Inference 45.41.168.91
This is part of bible belt. Easy conservative reelection.