Blaney, Rachel
	Downey, Shelley
	Gastis, Stacey
	Grenz, Jennifer
	Macknight, Paul
	Neal, Carla
	Wegg, Jessica
Incumbent:
	Rachel Blaney

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			105466 103525 52792 46592 53659.67 km² 2.00/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Rachel Blaney **	23834	37.90%
	Shelley Downey	20502	32.60%
	Mark de Bruijn	8891	14.10%
	Peter Schwarzhoff	8251	13.10%
	Brian Rundle	1102	1.80%
	Glen Staples	287	0.50%
	Carla Neal	48	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Rachel Blaney	24340	40.20%
	Laura Smith	15840	26.20%
	Peter Schwarzhoff	15416	25.50%
	Brenda Sayers	4940	8.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		23424	46.03%
		21241	41.74%
		3237	6.36%
		2625	5.16%
Other		367	0.72%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Vancouver Island North    (81.17% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country    (18.83% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
Parallels my Courtenay-Alberni non-prediction; the Cons a little too close for comfort--and it would have been even more dangerously close without the mainland stuff like Powell River; plus, the Cons won both the advance and the special ballots. There's no longer any doubt whether Jagmeet would ‘sell’ to this kind of resource-economy territory; of more concern now is *O'Toole's* bid to appeal to that economic class--plus, it's a rematch.
	17/08/21	Walnut 184.66.107.187
Blaney is well established here and clearly the favourite to win the riding. The Greens are running a decent candidate with Jessica Wegg so expect them to challenge the Conservatives for second place.
	26/05/21	99.226.172.248
I think the NDP will retain this seat. the Conservatives came up short here in 2019 even though they swept through rest of western Canada.