British Columbia Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
North Vancouver-Seymour

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:
Candidates:
Marijuana Party
DREYER, Tom
Reform Party
GAMBLE, Ron
Liberal Party
JARVIS, Daniel
Green Party
KIRKALDY, Evelyn
Independent
MCKENZIE, Chris
New Democratic Party
PATERSON, Sheila
Incumbent:
  North Vancouver-Seymour
Daniel Jarvis

Previous Result (redistribution):
1306456.29%
613426.43%
15986.89%
PDA
16166.96%
6012.59%
Previous Result (old ridings):
North Vancouver-Seymour
1416556.35%
667626.56%
17376.91%
PDA
17136.81%
Census 1996:
Population:53170
Dev. from Quota:12.78%
Area (km2):383
Pop Density:138.83

Surrounding Ridings:
Burnaby North
Burquitlam
North Vancouver-Lonsdale
Port Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
Port Moody-Westwood
West Vancouver-Capilano
West Vancouver-Garibaldi

Submissions
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23/02/01 Interested Voter Email:
Another academic exercise. Libs don't even have to open a campaign office to win here this time.
23/02/01 Old North Shore Political Hack Email:
Let me be the first master-of-the-obvious here -- Dan Jarvis will win this riding by a ridiculously easy margin. He had a massive victory last time, and the Reform factor will be even smaller now. Look for Jarvis to pile up about 70% of the popular vote, or more, by the time it is over...
07/04/01 Highland Flood Email:jazzpolice_99@yahoo.ca
The NDP candidate will be an irrelevant factor, and the Green candidate could conceivably come in second, as this is a riding where the Greens made a decent showing (2.5%) in 1996.
05/05/01 DMB Email:politics101@telus.net
Oh Dan will win very big but my question is for highland junkie - if 2.5% is a respectable showing what does he consider to be a poor showing?
11/05/01 LHGP Email:right_canada1@hotmail.com
This is my riding, unfortunately. Jarvis will win the way he won in '96 and '91, by being a BC Liberal. This riding overwhelmingly votes for the right, federally 50% CA, 7% PC, so we can safely say 60% of the votes here are on the right. Jarvis is actually quite a weak MLA, a poor speaker, and doesn't communicate with the riding the way MP White does. He will win because he's with the right party. I had hoped to vote for a Unity candidate myself, but there isn't one. Without that, that leaves MLA Jarvis and NDP hopeful(less?) Paterson agreeing with each other, which didn't even warrant a trip to an all candidates meeting as far as I was concerned.

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Last Updated 12 May 2001
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