Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2015


Prediction Changed
2015-10-15 23:31:51

Constituency Profile


Butt, Brad

Hill, Chris

Karim, Fayaz

Sikand, Gagan

Tarazevich, Yegor

(2011 census)


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

Other 100.02%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant

   (191/220 polls, 85.14% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Brad Butt

   Mississauga-Brampton South
   (27/220 polls, 14.84% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Eve Adams

   (2/220 polls, 0.01% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Hon. Lisa Raitt


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15 10 15 William Bishop
You can't be calling ridings like Oakville and Peterborough as going Liberal and think that this riding is still in contention.
Liberal rise will float all Mississauga boats.
15 10 11 Dr. Bear
Even before Hurricane Hazel endorses Trudeau, the polling numbers for the Liberals would suggest they win this riding. I suspect Mississauga will go fully red like they did provincially.
15 10 12 Monkey Cheese
I think this one can be called for the Liberals. 308 is calling for all the Mississauga ridings to go Liberal by a comfortable margin and Hazel McCallion's recent endorsement of the Liberals should put this one in the bag for them. She is still very popular in Mississauga and her endorsement could be enough to bring those swing voters over to the red column. Brad Butt simply hasn't been an impressive or visible enough MP to earn himself reelection.
15 10 10 Jeff S
Probably the CPC's best chance to hold on to a Mississaugua seat. If Butt weren't an idiot, their chances would improve. Still, not ready to call it yet.
15 09 30 R.O.
This riding hasn't got much attention this election , maybe its cause Bonnie Crombie is not running here anymore or that Brad Butt is a lower profile tory mp. Polls continue to show conservatives doing well in Ontario so ridings like this remain in play. But this riding has had a weird history and was riding where liberal mp Wajid Khan went on to join conservatives only to lose seat than riding actually went conservative a few years later but with a new candidate. So its likely still too close to call
15 08 17 Winds of Change
There is a lot of frustration in this riding with the current government, and even with the sitting MP. I now see a sea of Liberal signs popping up everywhere, indicating to me that this traditionally Liberal riding will now move back into the Liberal column. The only way that the Conservatives could possibly get re-elected in this riding would be if some of the frustrated voters who voted Conservative last time, vote NDP this time which would split the vote
15 08 16 A.S.
Actually, Streetsville as presently drawn *isn't* among the more Lib-leaning Mississauga ridings; the slicing out of the east-of-Creditview portions and annexation of Meadowvale Village saw an end to that--and Brad Butt's win is no more of a surprise than that of any MissisauCon in 2011. Though it doesn't make him unbeatable--remember that provincially, the seat's been pretty boringly, efficiently Bob Delaney Liberal landslide country since 2003; and add to that the McCallion/Crombie coattails in addition to whatever nasty-piece-of-workness about Butt. The only remaining impediment is rumours of the NDP actually making a more-than-nominal effort for a change (yeah, they *always* say that; but, one never knows)
15 08 07 Follow The Numbers
Brad Butt is best known for openly lying in the House of Commons, making up wild claims of voter fraud and people stealing ballot boxes. That's hardly the impression a MP should make on their constituents. The polling is close right now, but I agree with Durham Guy that Butt's lie and Hazel McCallion's endorsement of Justin Trudeau should send the Liberal's Gagan Sikand to Ottawa.
15 08 04 R.O.
This is a tough riding to get a feel for . it had been liberal for a number of years until Brad Butt won in 2011 and has been mp since . however liberal mp Bonnie Crombie he beat in 2011 went on to become mayor of Mississauga so not running again obviously. The new liberal candidate is not that well known yet and its tough to predict how ndp will do in this area. Normally not much of a factor but that may change . so maybe too close to call for time being
15 05 17 Durham Guy
Brad Butt's only claims to fame are that he made a gun gesture at Bob Rae and was caught lying in the House of Commons. Do the people of Mississauga Streetsville want a lair as their MP? Stronger polling numbers for the Liberals and Hazel McCallion's endorsement of Justin Trudeau should be enough for the Liberals to take this riding back.
15 03 28 Jack Cox
This was a surprise win by Brad Butt on election day, the Liberals are going to be pretty active in most of the Mississauga ridings and with the near the top in Ontario and back and forth with the tories, Gagan Sikand should win this.
15 03 28 Dr.Bear
Looks like people are avoiding the Peel regional ridings. Fine, I'll take the plunge. I say Streetsville will go Liberal. Pooling numbers are showing all of Missussauga swinging Liberal and this riding is more Liberal-leaning than some of others.

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