Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman


Prediction Changed
2015-03-24 23:44:20
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Bezan, James

Chief, Deborah

Grant, Donald L.

James, Wayne

Levy, Joanne


Population/populations
(2011 census)

91463


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

2838066.49%
1069625.06%
20714.85%
14823.47%
Other 530.12%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Selkirk-Interlake
   (225/244 polls, 90.68% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
James Bezan
25528
9801
1783
1347


   Provencher
   (19/244 polls, 9.32% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Ted Falk
2852
895
288
135
Other53



 


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15 09 27 A.S.
99.233.125.239
It hasn't *exactly* been continuously Conservative since 1984; remember how future provincial Liberal leader Jon Gerrard hit 40% in the former Portage-Interlake in 1993. But...yeah, now it's pretty solid, it's ceded some First Nations-heavy stuff to Churchill, and Selkirk itself is but a sad little shadow of onetime NDP hallowed ground. In fact, keep in mind that nearly as much time has passed since the beginning of the Schreyer government, as that which separated the Schreyer government from the Winnipeg General Strike. You can't go home again (although Jack'n'Ed certainly *tried* in 2006)
15 09 06 R.O.
24.146.23.226
Current mp James Bezan is running for re-election in this mostly rural riding . its been a fairly reliable conservative riding although has at times been an ndp target . its likely to stick with the current mp .
15 03 24 Dr. Bear
204.187.20.75
While the NDP made this race interesting with a star candidate in the '06 election-prediction-go-round, this riding has not gone anything but some-form-of-conservative since 1984. Unless the NDP become popular in rural prairie ridings again, this will stay solidly conservative.



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