Election Prediction Project
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Canada Federal Election - 2015

Prince Albert


Prediction Changed
2015-03-17 23:43:58
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Borgerson, Lon

Hoback, Randy

Kirkby, Gordon

Tenkink, Byron


Population/populations
(2011 census)

79344


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

2077562.42%
1048231.50%
11443.44%
7412.23%
Other 1420.43%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Prince Albert
   (166/188 polls, 93.54% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Randy Hoback
19212
9840
1070
666
Other116


   Saskatoon-Humboldt
   (11/188 polls, 3.43% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Brad Trost
642
407
44
21
Other26


   Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
   (9/188 polls, 2.39% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Rob Clarke
736
174
23
45


   Saskatoon-Wanuskewin
   (2/188 polls, 0.64%of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Maurice Vellacott
185
61
7
9



 


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15 10 13 Teddy Boragina
69.165.149.184
I noticed this riding had fewer than 5 party predictions, and decided to throw my hat into the ring.
PA is a good indicator of how well the NDP is doing vs the Tories. The fact the Tories are going to win shows the problem in the NDPs hopes.
15 09 28 A.S.
99.233.125.239
Before the advent of the United Right (and provincially, the Sask Party) led to everything being buried in apparently terminal blueblueblue, the mythic political character of Prince Albert might be labelled as 'DiefenDipper Populism' (perhaps even encompassing Mackenzie King's pre-1945 tenure--and of course, David Orchard's more recent PC/Grit bids). Maybe that's due to bounce back--thus Borgerson's bid; so, for *that* colourful sake, here's hoping that the Cons clawing back t/w majority territory is just an illusion...
15 09 18 R.O.
24.146.23.226
Randy Hoback has been mp since 2008 and running for re-election. Although this riding has a strong ndp base its been a reliable conservative riding federally for a number of years and that is likely to continue.
15 08 23 Terry The Canadian
173.206.244.106
The NDP are positioned to take this riding according the Insightrix Research poll released last week. Running a popular former MLA certainly helps.
15 03 29 monkey
174.114.31.13
Prince Albert itself could be a close battle and wouldn't shock me if the NDP finish ahead there, but the rural parts will go massively Tory thus ensuring they win here.
15 03 16 JW
99.232.118.35
While redistribution makes Regina and Saskatoon ridings very competitive between the Conservatives and the NDP, it also made all (but one) ridings outside the two cities overwhelmingly Conservative. Barring a major Conservative meltdown, this will safely remain Conservative.



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