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Scarborough-Rouge Park
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-16 23:29:48
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Anandasangaree, Gary

Choudhary, Zia

Kwok, Kingsley

Rehman, Asad


Incumbent:

Gary Anandasangaree

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

102275
102646

33060
32039

53.31 km²
1918.60/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Gary Anandasangaree ** 3136062.20%
Bobby Singh 1011520.10%
Kingsley Kwok 580111.50%
Jessica Hamilton 23304.60%
Dilano Sally 4670.90%
Mark Theodoru 3530.70%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Gary Anandasangaree 2991360.20%
Leslyn Lewis 1358727.40%
KM Shanthikumar 514510.40%
Calvin Winter 10102.00%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1286731.59%
1262130.99%
1415634.76%
9752.39%
Other 1120.27%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Pickering-Scarborough East
   (45.6% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Scarborough-Rouge River
   (40.5% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Scarborough-Guildwood
   (13.9% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Vijay Thanigasalam 1622438.61%
Felicia Samuel 1526136.32%
Sumi Shan 878520.91%
Priyan De Silva 10142.41%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1814047.98%
929024.57%
903523.90%
8562.26%
Other 4881.29%


14/08/21 Hammer
45.132.227.26
Super safe Liberal seat. The Liberals won by a massive margin in 2019.
28/07/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
It's happenstance that SRP wound up w/a rubber-stampy highest Liberal share in the land (then again, 62% isn't a terribly high ‘highest’ by past standards)--blame it on astronomic tallies in formerly ‘Rathika Dipper’ places like Morningside Heights; by comparison, they were closer to the 50th percentile in West Hill/Highland Creek/West Rouge, places where Reform could pretend to competitiveness in the early 90s. Of course, even that southern half would presently garner a Lib prediction as a standalone. The whole shebang: no contest.
15/05/21 MF
65.92.13.223
Home to many South Asian and Black voters, the Liberals received their highest vote share in Rouge Park in the last federal election. No contest here.



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