Falk, Ted
	Gautron, N?el
	Gibson, Janine G.
	Kirczenow, Trevor
	Loewen, Rick
	Pottinger, Serina
Incumbent:
	Ted Falk

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			99946 88640 39808 34632 18100.37 km² 5.50/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Ted Falk **	31821	65.90%
	Trevor Kirczenow	6347	13.10%
	Erin McGee	6187	12.80%
	Janine G. Gibson	2884	6.00%
	Wayne Sturby	1066	2.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Ted Falk **	25086	56.10%
	Terry Hayward	15509	34.70%
	Les Lilley	2371	5.30%
	Jeff Wheeldon	1779	4.00%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		24627	70.35%
		6358	18.16%
		2356	6.73%
		1039	2.97%
Other		625	1.79%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Provencher    (95.98% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Selkirk-Interlake    (4.02% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	31/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Ted Falk was first elected in a by election in 2013 , this has been a conservative riding for some time other than a brief liberal mp in the 90’s. is a lot of anti lockdown/vaccine folks here so could see a stronger than expected ppc run here but likely to stay cpc
	21/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Re ‘diversity’, it's true that Steinbach-type settlements are united not through race but through creed: a kind of built-in ‘sorting’. And while the riding's known for its Mennonite community, it's also known for its Metis settlements--and that's what led to Iftody's victories in the 90s as well as the high '15 share: the Steinbachs countered by the Ste Annes and Lorettes, IOW. But in '19, the only non-CPC poll remaining was an NDP reserve poll, as the Lib-NDP gap at large went from nearly 30 points to near-parity.
	09/08/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
The robust 35% Liberal share in 2015 was a throwback to the 90s (Liberal David Iftody won here in 1993/97), but it couldn't last. Despite Steinbach being known for its Mennonite community, it's actually a fairly diverse small city, relatively speaking. The two largest minority groups - Filipinos and Hispanics - are often religious and as likely to vote CPC as Liberal.
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
Rural riding in Manitoba, should be safe CPC