Election Prediction Project

Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-06-09 23:58:29

Constituency Profile


Alavi, Amir

Dyck, Ryan

Hewkin, Phil

Jeffers, David

Kendall, Catharine

Longley, Cory Grizz

Zimmer, Bob


Bob Zimmer

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



249618.70 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Bob Zimmer ** 3847369.80%
Mavis Erickson 639111.60%
Marcia Luccock 50699.20%
Catharine Kendall 34486.30%
Ron Vaillant 17483.20%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Bob Zimmer ** 2723752.50%
Matt Shaw 1291324.90%
Kathi Dickie 801415.50%
Elizabeth Biggar 26725.20%
W. Todd Keller 5591.10%
Barry Blackman 4640.90%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 4211.07%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Prince George-Peace River
   (98.51% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (1.49% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

25/08/21 A.S.
I might have no-predictioned this were Jay Hill the Maverick candidate--which would have been my *only* such no-prediction bowing on behalf of Maverick--and it'd be interesting to see them dominating the polls around Dawson Creek/Fort St John, though it's likely that Prince George would cancel that out. (Major urban resource towns aren't terribly Wexitty places.)
24/08/21 Walnut
If this was a personality contest, Grizz (Longley) would be the favourite. But it's a political contest in the most right-wing riding in BC. Zimmer's only concern is having the Maverick Party out-flank him on the right. The Peace might go for the Maverick Party, but Prince George ain't.
19/08/21 R.O.
Bob Zimmer has been mp of this riding since 2011 in what is a long time conservative area of BC . its also the home riding of Maverick Party Leader and former cpc mp Jay Hill although he’s not on the ballot and without him as there candidate it will stay conservative.
04/06/21 Libby Burgundy
So long as the Conservatives can keep the Wexit/Maverick folks under control, Peace River will continue to be one of that party's most reliable seats anywhere in the country outside Alberta. While Erin O'Toole's new direction on carbon taxes may ruffle a few feathers, the Conservatives still remain the only unequivocally pro-extraction party in parliament, and it's not like opponents of a carbon tax have any major-party alternatives. (Who are they going to vote for, Maxime Bernier?)

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