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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Spadina-Fort York


Prediction Changed
0000-00-00 00:00:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Glover, Chris

Nguyen, Chi


Incumbent:
Chris Glover

Population (2016):

115506
Population (2011):82480


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

CHRIS GLOVER
24,67749.62%
HAN DONG *
11,77023.67%
IRIS YU
10,83421.79%
RITA BILERMAN
1,8153.65%
ERIK MALMHOLT
2780.56%
ADAM NOBODY
2710.54%
QUEENIE YU
860.17%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

16,660 48.30%
6,024 17.46%
9,216 26.71%
1,857 5.38%
OTHERS 739 2.14%
Total Transposed 34,496
      Component Riding(s)

Trinity-Spadina
(93.15% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Toronto Centre
(6.85% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Adam Vaughan **
33,82255.80%
Diana Yoon
12,18820.10%
Frank Fang
10,68017.60%
Dean Maher
3,1745.20%
Robert Stewart
6721.10%
Marcela Ramirez
1140.20%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Adam Vaughan
30,14154.70%
Olivia Chow **
15,04727.30%
Sabrina Zuniga
8,67315.70%
Sharon Danley
1,1372.10%
Michael Nicula PACT/PRCT
910.20%
Nick Lin
590.10%


 

06/06/21 1 Chris N
24.36.32.209
If the Liberals are to regain their foothold in central Toronto and downtown, expect Spadina-Fort York to be one of the first that flips red. In a riding where residents can probably name their condo board members before their local elected politicians, I'm not sure how much of an advantage it is to be an incumbent. Interestingly, the PCs have pockets of support among the older waterfront condos, hitting above 30% in 2018 in some buildings, which typically have older residents and retirees.
05/06/21 2
99.226.172.248
Chris Glover, is a really strong community based MPP. I believe he'll will keep this seat for the NDP by a fairly healthy margin.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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