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Papineau
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:07:53
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Rivera, Julio


Incumbent:

Justin Trudeau

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

110750
108977

56028
52286

9.91 km²
11179.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Justin Trudeau ** 2595751.10%
Christine Paré 974819.20%
Christian Gagn 812416.00%
Juan Vazquez 37417.40%
Sophie Veilleux 21554.20%
Jean-Patrick Cacereco Berthiaume 3630.70%
Mark Sibthorpe 3220.60%
Susanne Lefebvre 1860.40%
Alain Magnan 760.10%
Luc Lupien 750.10%
Steve Penner 340.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Justin Trudeau ** 2639152.00%
Anne Lagacé Dowson 1313225.90%
Maxime Claveau 618212.20%
Yvon Vadnais 23904.70%
Danny Polifroni 14432.80%
Chris Lloyd 5051.00%
Tommy Gaudet 3230.60%
Kim Waldron 1590.30%
Peter Macrisopoulos 1420.30%
Beverly Bernardo 1030.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

23135.04%
1352629.47%
1740737.93%
1141924.88%
8661.89%
Other 3560.78%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Papineau
   (92.13% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Outremont
   (4.31% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel
   (3.57% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


05/05/21 JW
45.41.168.96
CPC won over 80% in most rural Aberta ridings last time.



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