Bergen, Candice
	Carrier, Andrew
	Dondo, Jerome
	Friesen, Ken
	Wiebe, Solomon
Incumbent:
	Candice Bergen

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			97354 91019 35539 33877 12509.09 km² 7.80/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Candice Bergen **	31600	70.80%
	Ken Werbiski	4779	10.70%
	Cindy Friesen	3872	8.70%
	Beverley Eert	2356	5.30%
	Aaron Archer	1169	2.60%
	Jerome Dondo	860	1.90%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Candice Bergen **	25060	60.80%
	Ken Werbiski	10621	25.80%
	Dean Harder	2554	6.20%
	Beverley Eert	1637	4.00%
	Jerome Dondo	1315	3.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		25739	75.80%
		3467	10.21%
		2032	5.98%
		1915	5.64%
Other		809	2.38%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Portage-Lisgar    (94.54% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Provencher    (5.27% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Selkirk-Interlake    (0.19% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	09/09/21	Jon 184.151.246.11
Going to see a potential upset possibly here this time. No question this riding should be too close to call at least. I am seeing a upset with the PPC winning a seat from the Conservatives. Winkler had 3000 people at a Bernier rally in a farmers field the other day and the PPC have incredible momentum. Going to be a very tight race, but I think it’s the PPC party that will win a seat here.
	05/09/21	Eduard Hiebert 69.168.163.198
Voting is a vital civic statement of Canadian citizenship. However with 80% of Canadians not wanting this election and so said almost all MP's but the majority of them including our incumbent did not takes steps as in Israel, where the majority has little common cause but to oust the long standing government. Canadian MPs could have done the same with a lot less effort. While I respect democratic results even if my preferred candidate is not elected, and although Portage Lisgar over my half-century of voting had at least one non-Con (John Gerard Liberal), I do not believe for above stated reasons any of the party candidates presently in Ottawa beginning with Candace Bergen after her MAGA (Make America Great Again) hat matter, that any of them deserve my vote. As there is no independent and accordingly I will vote Solomon Wiebe (PPP) knowing that as a wild card should he be elected a new broom would be much better than an old one. But more importantly, it gives me a place to park my vote and make the clearest statement possible that not one of the current parties in Ottawa deserve my vote and in this particular election as a huge exception to all of my voting practice I will pinch my nose very hard and vote PPP. Thereby providing a clear message with zero downside risk, a place to still exercise my civic duty and increasing however slightly the possibility of another minority government.
	21/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
The best Con seat in Manitoba it always was and so it shall remain, even if Bergen isn't serving Charlie McCarthy leadership the way she was in '19. And it's saying something about Manitoba that ‘best’ worked out to be just over 70%, i.e. outpolled by 6 predominantly rural ridings in Sask and everything in Alberta that wasn't Calg/Edm/Leth. (And here, the Libs *did* retain 2nd--then again, it was the same candidate as in '15, and the 2011 version of the riding was one of only 2 in the *country* where the NDP had a single-digit share. And while the Libs carried downtown PLP in '15, they were blanked in all but FN settlements in '19 and the only non-CPC-majority PLP polls remaining had the NDP in 2nd.)
	13/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Candice Bergen has been mp for some time in this rural / long time conservative riding so would expect that to continue .
	09/08/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
This may be a safe Conservative seat, but Candice Bergen's effectiveness and high profile as an MP probably boosts the CPC share even further.
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
Rural riding in Manitoba, should be safe CPC