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Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:04:35
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Laranjo, Bert

Tassi, Filomena


Incumbent:

Filomena Tassi

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

113024
109535

44962
42188

100.37 km²
1126.10/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Filomena Tassi ** 3021446.60%
Bert Laranjo 1734026.70%
Yousaf Malik 1152717.80%
Victoria Galea 47707.30%
Daniel Ricottone 8941.40%
Spencer Rocchi 1560.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Filomena Tassi 2969447.70%
Vincent Samuel 1982131.80%
Alex Johnstone 1013116.30%
Peter Ormond 26334.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2255542.39%
1499728.19%
1325424.91%
19853.73%
Other 4080.77%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
   (66.22% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Hamilton Centre
   (22.28% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Hamilton Mountain
   (11.5% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Sandy Shaw 2392143.19%
Ben Levitt 1718931.03%
Ted Mcmeekin * 1096019.79%
Peter Ormond 23024.16%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

2076043.21%
1238325.78%
1194124.86%
23684.93%
Other 5881.22%


27/05/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
Tassi won the riding by a decent margin in 2019. The redrawing of this riding in 2015 has made it challenging for the Conservatives to win.
I anticipate that the Liberals will win it again.



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